Polymarket Monte Carlo · Weekly P&L

Each step = one 5-min bet (2016 steps = 7 days). The shaded fan is the path-density across all simulations — darker = more probable. Amber line = median, dashed = mean. Hover for P5/P25/P75/P95.

Histogram of ending P&L across all paths. Bar height = % of paths landing in that bin. Dashed line = median.